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4. Iron and steel module: RMC|Steel

RMC|Steel is a sectoral module within the RMC model family that models the low-carbon transition of China’s iron and steel industry. It is designed to analyze the evolution of supply and demand, technological composition, energy structure, and the demand for specific energy carriers (such as hydrogen) in China’s steel industry during its low-carbon transition. The module is also implemented in MESSAGEix and covers 31 provincial-level administrative regions as in the RMC main model. It incorporates, in a bottom-up manner, the major production processes and key technological details of the steel sector, and has been calibrated using empirical historical data on production capacity, output, and technology costs.

4.1. Model structure

_images/fig_4_1.png

Fig. 4-1: Reference energy system of RMC|Steel Model.

As shown in Fig. 4-1, the RMC|Steel model mainly models raw material processing, pig iron smelting, and crude steel smelting, and does not involve the subsequent processing of steel coils, billets, and other products. Among them, raw material processing mainly includes:

  • Coking (coking)

  • Calcination of limestone (calcin)

  • Sintering and pelletizing of iron ore (sint_pelle)

The principal ironmaking technologies include:

  • Blast furnace ironmaking (bf)

  • Hydrogen-enriched blast furnace ironmaking (bf_h2)

  • Natural gas-based direct reduced iron (dri)

  • Hydrogen-based direct reduced iron (hdri)

  • Hydrogen-based direct smelting reduction (hmr)

The main steelmaking technologies include:

  • Basic oxygen furnace steelmaking (bof)

  • Electric arc furnace steelmaking using scrap as the primary feedstock (eaf_scrap)

  • Electric arc furnace steelmaking using DRI as the main feedstock (eaf_spg)

For BF, DRI, and BOF facilities, carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies can be incorporated to mitigate CO2 emissions. The BF facilities can also be retrofitted with hydrogen injection systems to achieve partial hydrogen substitution. In addition, the model provides a detailed breakdown of hydrogen production pathways, distinguishing among coal gasification, natural gas reforming, and water electrolysis from a technological perspective, each of which can be coupled with corresponding CCS technologies.

The input–output relationships among these major processes and technologies are summarized in Table 4-1.

Table 4-1: RMC|Steel main technology input and output.

Technology

Input

Output

BF

coke, elec, raw iron, qklime

molten iron

DRI

h2, raw iron

sponge iron

BOF

molten iron, elec, qklime

crude steel

EAF (sponge iron)

sponge iron, elec

crude steel

EAF (scrap)

scrap, elec

crude steel

Coal to H2

coal, elec

H2

Gas to H2

ch4, elec

H2

Electrolysis

elec, water

H2

4.2. Parameter settings

Table 4-2: Capital expenditures(CAPEX)

Technology

CAPEX

Unit

Data source

Sintering/pelletizing

45.87

M$/Mtpa

Steelonthenet, 2023

Limestone Calcination

109.6

M$/Mtpa

Chumin, 2025

Coking

446.2

M$/Mtpa

Reliable Plant, 2008

BF iron-making

211

M$/Mtpa

IEA-ETSAP, 2010a

BF w/ H2 injection

40

M$/Mtpa

-

BF w/ CCS

80.24

M$/Mtpa

He et al., 2025; Wang et al., 2025

H-DRI

580

M$/Mtpa

Christoph Heinemann et al., 2024

BOF steel-making

100

M$/Mtpa

IEA-ETSAP, 2010

BOF w/ CCS

80.24

M$/Mtpa

He et al., 2025

EAF (using DRI as main feedstock)

143

M$/Mtpa

Steelonthenet.com, 2025

EAF (using scrap as main feedstock)

143

M$/Mtpa

Steelonthenet.com, 2025

Coal to H2

10692

M$/Mtpa

IEA, 2020; Energy Transitions Commission, 2023

Coal to H2 w/ CCS

444

M$/Mtpa

IEA, 2020

Gas to H2

3641.3

M$/Mtpa

IEA, 2020

Gas to H2 w/ CCS

2693
(1488.5 in 2050)

M$/Mtpa

IEA, 2020

Electrolysis

8296.5
(3583.1 in 2050)

M$/Mtpa

IEA, 2020

Table 4-3: Fixed operation expenditures

Technology

Fixed OPEX

Unit

Data source

Sintering/pelletizing

1.835

M$/Mtpa

Arasto, 2015

Limestone Calcination

8.05

M$/Mtpa

AGICO Cement Plant Equipment, 2025

Coking

17.18

M$/Mtpa

Gallaher, Depro and Agency, 2002

BF iron-making

14.14

M$/Mtpa

Gallaher, Depro and Agency, 2002; IEA, 2013

BF w/ H2 injection

10

M$/Mtpa

-

BF w/ CCS

4.07

M$/Mtpa

IEA, 2013

H-DRI

20

M$/Mtpa

Steelonthenet.com, 2025

BOF steel-making

15.45

M$/Mtpa

IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme, 2024

BOF w/ CCS

2.16

M$/Mtpa

IEA, 2013

EAF (using DRI as main feedstock)

81.24

M$/Mtpa

Vogl, Åhman and Nilsson, 2018; Benavides et al., 2024

EAF (using scrap as main feedstock)

81.24

M$/Mtpa

Vogl, Åhman and Nilsson, 2018; Benavides et al., 2024

Coal to H2

433

M$/Mtpa

Shao Le et al., 2024

Coal to H2 w/ CCS

18

M$/Mtpa

-

Gas to H2

454.5

M$/Mtpa

Shao Le et al., 2024

Gas to H2 w/ CCS

50.2

M$/Mtpa

-

Electrolysis

182.5

M$/Mtpa

IEA, 2020

Table 4-4: Variable operation expenditures

Technology

Variable OPEX

Unit

Data source

Iron ore supply

110.61

M$/Mt

Trading Economics, 2025

Limestone supply

19.59

M$/Mt

kq81.com, 2025

Coal supply

195.89

M$/Mt

National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2025

Natural gas supply

694

M$/Mt

CEIC Data, 2025

Electricity supply

0.085

M$/GWh

State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council, 2020

Water supply

0.676

M$/Mt

CEIC Data, 2025

Scrap supply

349.8

M$/Mt

CSteelNews, 2025

Sintering/pelletizing

20

M$/Mt

Rahbari et al., 2025

Coal to H2

434.1

M$/Mt

Shao Le et al., 2024

Coal to H2 w/ CCS

0

M$/Mt

-

Gas to H2

338.5

M$/Mt

Shao Le et al., 2024

Gas to H2 w/ CCS

0

M$/Mt

-

Electrolysis

0

M$/Mt

-

Table 4-5: Carbon emission factors

Technology

Emission factor

Unit

Data source

Sintering/pelletizing

0.2

t-CO2/t-output

CSteelNews, 2023; Steelonthenet, 2025; ZHAO Zedong, LI Jiaxuan, and LI Yuanye, 2025

Limestone Calcination

1

t-CO2/t-output

Shenlan Environmental Protection Industry Development Co., Ltd., 2025

Coking

0.794

t-CO2/t-output

Steelonthenet, 2025

BF iron-making

1.22

t-CO2/t-output

Steelonthenet, 2025

BF w/ H2 injection

0.67

t-CO2/t-output

Zhang et al., 2024; OECD, 2025

BF w/ CCS

0.0523

t-CO2/t-output

Santos et al., 2013

H-DRI

0.04

t-CO2/t-output

Rechberger et al., 2020

BOF steel-making

0.181

t-CO2/t-output

Nancy Margolis and Ross Brindle, 2000; European Commission. Joint Research Centre., 2022; steelonthenet, 2025

BOF w/ CCS

0.03

t-CO2/t-output

Butterworth, 2024

EAF (using DRI as main feedstock)

0.03

t-CO2/t-output

European Commission. Joint Research Centre., 2022

EAF (using scrap as main feedstock)

0.03

t-CO2/t-output

European Commission. Joint Research Centre., 2022

Coal to H2

20.1

t-CO2/t-output

IEA, 2019

Coal to H2 w/ CCS

2.1

t-CO2/t-output

IEA, 2019

Gas to H2

10.13

t-CO2/t-output

Baltac et al., 2022

Gas to H2 w/ CCS

2.32

t-CO2/t-output

Baltac et al., 2022